Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 4.823486e-01 0.643596 0.828997 1.054615 1.318487 1.614245 1.967686
2025-02-16 2.118633e-01 0.378204 0.604396 0.918358 1.327423 1.828066 2.472705
2025-02-23 9.565933e-02 0.244385 0.487980 0.871675 1.420346 2.140242 3.119775
2025-03-02 3.640626e-02 0.152751 0.391184 0.819197 1.486733 2.417047 3.741551
2025-03-09 1.626583e-02 0.116095 0.366630 0.864685 1.691141 2.890703 4.649294
2025-03-16 4.587543e-03 0.078387 0.319451 0.857063 1.808640 3.246627 5.414901
2025-03-23 1.492116e-03 0.064564 0.317796 0.928995 2.056623 3.803599 6.482759
2025-03-30 2.164863e-04 0.050317 0.306048 0.976594 2.265710 4.311336 7.499104
2025-04-06 6.008137e-08 0.036458 0.284827 0.997870 2.428332 4.753547 8.434594
2025-04-13 NaN 0.022107 0.246338 0.969329 2.495876 5.047654 9.160596
2025-04-20 NaN 0.014653 0.226737 0.979113 2.631777 5.452854 10.060309
2025-04-27 NaN 0.009422 0.209653 0.989915 2.768181 5.861960 10.974868
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004046 0.174876 0.943630 2.791183 6.092112 11.636683
2025-05-11 NaN 0.001325 0.145342 0.900940 2.815134 6.323438 12.307063
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000439 0.130872 0.900786 2.927175 6.708351 13.226007
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000040 0.110607 0.871655 2.971977 6.977036 13.968234
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000013 0.113903 0.933067 3.223752 7.617713 15.313938
2025-06-08 NaN NaN 0.102750 0.932640 3.333755 8.009504 16.270173
2025-06-15 NaN NaN 0.110180 1.013108 3.636576 8.754745 17.806514
2025-06-22 NaN NaN 0.111251 1.066006 3.877204 9.393448 19.181282
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.106179 1.089924 4.050345 9.914201 20.374033
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.091073 1.060336 4.091963 10.195680 21.183106
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.084740 1.071123 4.232231 10.661224 22.299039